Monday, April 21, 2008

Mike Mussina's Heater

Mike Mussina's heater: like an angry poodle, it doesn't have much bite, but it's got more bite than you think.


I got into an argument today regarding the Moose's pitching abilities, and his velocity kept coming up. The opposing side assured me that an 85 MPH fastball could not survive in the pitcher-unfriendly American League East. While that makes a lot of sense, there's a great article over at the Hardball Times that assures us good citizens that the velocity of a fastball is overhyped; statistically speaking, from the samples provided, an 86 MPH fastball and a 96 MPH fastball, righty on righty to the outside part of the plate, has no significant difference. Honestly, that kind of blew my mind.

The opposition assured me that this was not an 86 MPH fastball that we were dealing with, but an 80 MPH fastball. (Mussina must be losing velocity quickly if he dropped 5 MPH between his responses.) At any rate, I looked up his PITCHf/x data, and it turns out that Mussina's fastballs are averaging to be 86.36 MPH so far this season. Most people have been saying he's sitting 84-86 -- but he's averaging the high end of that assertion! He hit 87 MPH in the first inning of his last start (the Manny Ramirez Home Run-a-Thon); I didn't get a chance to look much beyond that, but suffice to say averaging at 86 MPH means he's topping over it at least as much as he's pitching below it.

His velocity still isn't great, but it's better than you haters say. Furthermore, when he's not facing the most potent offense in the AL in two consecutive starts, he's done pretty well. After Round #1 against the Sox, he was sporting a 4.15 ERA. Considering the definition of a quality start is 6 IP, 3 ER (4.50 ERA), I'll take that from my alleged fifth starter.

C'mon, folks. The Cy Young Award winner has an ERA at least twice as big as Moose's after he's faced off against Beckett twice and Burnett once.

Friday, April 18, 2008

4/18 -- Hughes v. BAL's Cabrera

Phil "Hughes Your Daddy?" Hughes faces off against Daniel "One Wild and Crazy Guy" Cabrera tonight at Camden Yards. Hughes looks to dust himself off and shake off his last two starts, which were not at all pretty. This is, however, his first start in decent weather (i.e., a plague of frogs is not expected) and that should provide him with some assistance -- he'll actually be able to feel his feel pitches.

Images as the game progresses...




4/17 -- Mussina v. BOS's Beckett (Retrospect)



The news story of the game last night was Farnsworth's heater behind Manny Ramirez's head. I can't honestly say I mind them making Manny uncomfortable in the batter's box, but that might be a little much.

Tonight pits Hughes vs. BAL's Daniel Cabrera, who has the goods but not the control. It's Hughes' first start in good weather, so hopefully he'll pitch to expectation tonight and get his first win of the season.

Thursday, April 17, 2008

Welcome and Retrospective

The LOLYanks series has been a briefly running joke over at NYYFans.com (a wonderful site), where I've been creating and posting these during games for other posters' amusement. Per someone's suggestion, I've created a blog to bring them all to one spot; and perhaps I'll post the occasional article, recap, analysis, or whatever along with goofy pictures.

To start things off right, I'll repost the LOLYanks I've created so far:

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Game-specific ones -- this was for April 15th (Pettitte v. TB's Jackson):
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April 17th (Mussina v. BOS's Beckett) -- created during the bottom of the fifth:
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